Saturday, 13 February 2016

Low Interest Rates: What They Mean for Retirees.



The Fed may have officially raised the prime rate last year, but overall, interest rates remain pretty low. That's great for car or home buyers (4% for a 30-year mortgage, baby!), but it’s not such a blessing for retirees, or anyone relying heavily on investment income (rather than earned income) to get by. The recent buzz about negative interest rates, which haven't hit the U.S. yet (read How Negative Interest Rates Work), makes all this even more unnerving.
If you are living off the interest your assets generate, a low-interest rate environment obviously means less income to live on. What's the plan, then, if you're shopping for income-oriented instruments?

Techniques for Treasuries

The traditional go-to for many retirees are Treasury bonds and Treasury notes, which provide a steady, reliable income stream at a low risk (see Is a treasury bond a good investment for retirement?). But there's a price to pay for the security of an instrument "backed by the full faith and credit of the federal government": T-Bonds and T-notes don't offer the sexiest of yields, and in a low-interest-rate climate, they may not provide much income at all.
What to do? You could try to cash in any bonds you have now, and live off the principal (which precludes any interest income earnings in the future, of course), or opt to invest in slightly higher-risk debt instruments, like corporate or municipal bonds. Another idea: bond-laddering, in which a investor purchases separate securities with different maturities, instead of putting money into a single, long-term bond. So if rates are falling when it's time to reinvest, less of the portfolio has to go into the lower-yielding bonds; if rates are rising, you can get in on the improved yields faster. Read more in Bond Ladders: A Bad Idea for Retirees?

Annuities Angles

Laddering can also be done with annuities, another standby for retirees. Annuities are a type of insurance product that guarantee regular payments (at a either fixed or variable rate) for a designated period or until your death, even if you turn out to be a centenarian.Annuities can provide peace of mind, but they often come with a hefty price tag, in the form of high fees and stiff surrender charges, should you change your mind. Given that, the income they offer in a low-interest-rate environment may not be worth the cost.
Rather than going all in on annuities right now, you could try the ladder technique; or opt for a variable-rate product, which would allow you to benefit when rates start rising again. See How to Buy Annuities When Interest Rates Are Low.

Pension Plan Puzzles

Although they are getting less common, especially in the private sector, employer-based pension plans (officially defined-benefit plans) still exist: Similar to annuities, they can provide a regular monthly income, based on the retired worker's salary history and length of career. These pension funds are invested on the idea that their assets will generate the amount needed to cover their obligations to their pensioners. When interest rates drop, there is always the risk that pension funds may not be able to make their "payroll" – though if that happens, the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC), which guarantees benefits up to a legally defined limit (sort of like an FDIC for the pension industry), could cover a portion of your monthly stipend.
Since pension plans of this type are pretty much controlled by the employer, individuals' options are limited. Certainly, you shouldn't rely on a pension as the sole source of your retirement income (Grandpa may have been able to, but not you, in today's financial world). Those who are expecting a pension imminently might consider taking it in a lump sum, instead of annuitized payments, and investing it in instruments that offer a better payout (or holding onto the bulk of it, until interest rates improve). See also How Does a Pension Plan Work After Retirement?

Stodgy but Safe Savings

By the time you hit retirement age, you should have some funds put aside in a savings account for that proverbial rainy day. While the current low-interest climate might seem pretty wet, it is important not to move those funds around to try to earn more income. Sure, it's tempting: After all, the interest earned on savings accounts seems even lower than the rates earned on T-Bonds. But emergency funds aren’t designed to dole out a high return on investment, they exist to ensure you don’t go into debt (or worse) should the unexpected happen. If your strategy is to reinvest the savings-account assets, and then use a credit card to cover big emergency costs, consider this: Paying those high APRs on purchases made with plastic is significantly worse than earning even the lowest of rates in your savings account.

The Bottom Line

Low interest rates are generally not great for retirees: No matter how you strategize, your income-oriented investments will feel the pain. But hang on, and try not to decimate savings or dip too much into capital. With luck, interest rates will recover at some point. The plan in the meantime is to do yourself as little damage as possible.


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4 Reasons To Sell TripAdvisor (TRIP).

There is a bearish case to be made for TripAdvisor, Inc. (NASDAQ: TRIP). It rests on increased competition, a business model reliant on advertising, faltering results and a high valuation for its stock

What Is TripAdvisor?

TripAdvisor is an online travel company that aggregates reviews about destinations, accommodations, activities, attractions and restaurants throughout the world. This allows the site's users to access advice, and compare real-time pricing and availability.
Its main brand is TripAdvisor, although there are 23 other websites under the company's umbrella. The business is organized into two segments: hotel and other. Despite efforts to diversify into other areas, the hotel segment still generated about 85% of the first nine months of 2015's revenue and virtually all of the operating income.

Competition Abounds

There are not significant barriers to entry to the industry. The company works to attract users through efforts that include TV advertising, email and online search. However, none of these are unique to TripAdvisor.
Competition is intensifying, by management's own admission. A number of companies aggregate travel information, including well-established and well-financed companies such as Alphabet, Baidu.com, Bing Travel and Yahoo. There are also large online travel agencies such as Expedia and Priceline that host reviews from users who book travel on their websites.

Advertising Model

The majority of TripAdvisor's revenue is derived from advertising; specifically, click-based advertising. The company receives money from clients, primarily online travel agencies, when site users click on the ads. It is structured on a per-click basis. This accounted for 66% of TripAdvisor's revenue in the first nine months of 2015. Other sources of revenue are display-based advertising, subscription advertising and transaction-based revenue.

Who Does Cheap Oil Benefit? See This Stock (DG, COST).

There is a common perception that cheap oil will lead to stronger consumer spending, which will then benefit stocks. In most economic situations, this would be logical. The reason this isn’t logical thinking right now is because cheap oil is partially a result of a weakening consumer. What you want to know is this: Which companies and their stocks will actually benefit from cheap oil? Answering that question with absolute certainty is impossible, but we can see if one or more companies have a better chance than others.

Airlines

The logic here is that airline stocks will perform well because fuel costs have plummeted. This trade made sense for a while, but it’s not going to be nearly as pretty going forward. Fuel costs should continue to go down, which is a clear positive and can potentially prevent disaster for airline stocks. On the other hand, as business cut costs, business travel will be reduced. And as investment incomes sour, leisure travelers will no longer be as quick to buy airline tickets. What happens then? At that point airlines must reduce their pricing, which then impacts sales and earnings, followed by their stock prices. (For more, see: Top 3 Transportation Stocks of 2016.)
If you look at JetBlue Airways Corp. (JBLU), Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL), Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) and American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL), all four have suffered double-digit stock depreciation over the past three months. This tells you that these stocks will not hold up in an approaching bear market. While airline stocks might hold up a little better than the broader market, they’re still not where you want to be.


Package Delivery

You might be thinking about United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) and FedEx Corporation (FDX), but the same concept applies. As the consumer slows, demand for products will decline leading to fewer deliveries and offsetting fuel cost savings. On the results side, UPS and FDX have slid 7.19% and 19.33% over the past three months, respectively. UPS hasn’t done too badly, especially with a 3.06% dividend yield, but that’s still a loss. In addition to the aforementioned concern, you have to consider a potential Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) threat. 

Google is shutting down Picasa.


Google on Friday said it will be shuttering Picasa to shift its focus to the new Google Photos service launched less than a year ago.

"We believe we can create a much better experience by focusing on one service that provides more functionality and works across mobile and desktop, rather than divide our efforts across two different products," Google Photos chief Anil Sabharwal said in a blog post.

Inside Amazon’s decision to make a video game engine.


Amazon launched its Lumberyard video game engine this week, showing its intentions to become a much bigger platform company in the games business. To date, Amazon has shown it wants to compete against the likes of Apple and Google with its own game app store, and it has its own game studios making mobile games and material for the Fire TV settop box. It also bought Twitch for $970 million to enter the gameplay livestreaming business in competition with the likes of YouTube.

But now Amazon is going further into the fabric of the game business with the Lumberyard game engine, competing against Unity, Epic Games’Unreal Engine,Autodesk’s Stingray, and others. The Lumberyard engine shows that the company has been thinking about this for some time. It already runs its Amazon Web Services backend infrastructure for a huge game developer community. It also bought engine technology when it acquired the Double Helix game studio in 2014. Then last year, 

Amazon secretly paid $50 million to get a license for Crytek’s CryEngine technology. That latter move gave Amazon access to high-end 3D game engine technology that’s suitable for building blockbuster games (what the industry refers to as “triple-A” development). Twitch services are also being tied into Lumberyard. It’s a big chess move in the platform wars, and not all of it is clear yet.
We wondered why Amazon made this move, where there’s already a lot of choice among game engines. So we asked Eric Schenk, the general manager of the Amazon Lumberyard engine. Here’s an edited transcript of our conversation.
Gamesbeat: Which division of Amazon oversees this? Is it Amazon Web Services, or is it part of the game group?
Eric Schenk: It’s run out of Amazon Games, but it’s an Amazon web service. Lumberyard, because it’s a cloud-connected game engine, has direct plumbing to AWS. We launched it as an AWS service. You can really only use it by using AWS. [Note: An Amazon spokesperson said you can use it as a stand-alone service, without AWS]. When we looked at it, it’s designed for game developers, but the technology itself is mainly AWS. It made sense to launch it as a branded AWS service.

Friday, 12 February 2016

Bank of Baroda reports Rs3,342 crore loss in Dec quarter.!!


Mumbai: Bank of Baroda, the country’s second largest public sector bank, on Saturday reported a loss of Rs.3342 crore as bad loans and provisions against such loans surged. The reported loss would have been higher if it wasn’t for a tax write back of Rs.1,118 crore taken during the quarter.
The surge in reported gross non performing assets (NPAs) and provisions followed an asset quality review conducted by the Reserve Bank of India across the banking sector. Following the review, the RBI has asked banks to provide for visible stressed assets and classify them as NPAs rather than delaying recognition. The RBI wants banks to clean up their books by March 2017.
At Bank of Baroda, Net loss for the quarter was at Rs.3342 crore compared to a net profit of Rs.334 crore in the same quarter last year. In the September ended quarter, the bank had reported a net profit of Rs.124.48 crore.
In absolute terms, gross NPAs at Bank of Baroda surged 64% over the previous quarter to Rs.38,934 crore compared to Rs.23, 710 crore at the end of the September quarter. The gross NPA ratio, as a percentage of total loans, jumped to 9.68% from 5.56% in the previous quarter and 3.85% in the year ago quarter.
Provisions against bad load in the December ended quarter stood at Rs.6164.55 crore compared to Rs.1891.70 crore in the September quarter.
Post provisioning, net NPAs were at 5.67% at the end of the December quarter compared to 3.08% in the September quarter and 2.11% in the year ago quarter.
Net interest income, or the core income a bank earns from the lending business, also fell sharply by 17.6% to Rs2706 crore in the December ended quarter compared to Rs 3286 crore in the year ago quarter.

Internet to Influence $35 Bn of FMCG Sales in India by 2020: Report


Internet would influence $35 billion of total sales in India in the FMCG sector by 2020, and beauty and hygiene products sales will account for $11 billion, says a report.

The report, released jointly by Google and Bain & Co, projected that an estimated 130 million Indians will shop online by 2020 making internet a prominent sales channel forming 20% of total sales estimated to be $35 billion.

"While the total influence of Internet will impact $35 billion worth of FMCG sales, which is one-third of total sales in India, beauty and hygiene will see two times higher impact as more and more users get online to research in this category. Internet would influence $11 million of the total sales in the FMCG sector for beauty and hygiene products by 2020," the report said.

As per the report, online users in India will continue to see rapid adoption reaching approximately 650 millon by 2020.

"Over 200 million women will be online with internet reaching over 250 million rural users in India by 2020," it added.

Google India Industry Director Vikas Agnihotri said: "FMCG companies in India need to start thinking of digital as a more strategic medium and chart out a digital growth path for their products."

Beauty & hygiene related searches on Google makes it the third largest vertical for shopping related searches -- behind apparels & accessories and mobile phones.

With growing penetration of Internet beyond urban India and online shopping growing, there is a huge opportunity waiting to be unlocked by FMCG players in the country, report said.